Technical Indicators – The Three Trend line Strategy

 

Trend Lines are an important tool for trend identification and confirmation in technical analysis. It is a straight line that connects two or more price points and then extends into the future to guide you.

There will be lines drawn across significant lows in an uptrend, and significant highs in a downtrend. To roughly classify trend lines, we can divide them into three as short term trendlines, medium term trendlines and long term trendlines.

 

1. Short Term Trendlines

Draw these lines across the most recent two lows for an uptrend or across most recent two highs for a downtrend. Best observations are found on a smaller time frame such as a 15 minute or 30 minute chart.

 

2. Medium Term Trendlines

These are best observed on a higher time frame like a 60 minute chart. It either connects the nearest significant low to current price action to the previous significant low in an uptrend or the nearest significant high to current price action to the previous significant high in a downtrend.

 

3. Long Term Trendlines

It uses higher time frames such as the 4 hour chart or the daily chart to draw long term trendlines using the same method of Medium Term Trendlines. The long term trend line is considered as an effective Forex trading tool. The daily chart is used mostly by traders of big institutions who do not usually engage in small moves on an intra day level.

 

By drawing a trend line on a daily chart you can graphically analyze where price is and where it is likely to bounce. But employ trendlines as a Forex trading tool with caution and discretion. Covering your charts with every trend line possible will result in confusion and blurry analysis.

 

It is not a good idea to rely completely on a short erm trend line. They merely give you a defined picture of current price action. These are broken often during the course of a day. Their main use is to give you a clear, instantly recognizable graphical representation of current price behavior.

 

If you notice price coming back to test a trend line on the higher time frames, look at other factors. Draw in horizontal lines to mark key support and resistance using previous highs and lows. Draw Fibonacci retracement and extension levels. Calculate the daily pivot points and put them on your chart. Have the 200 EMA (Exponential Moving Average) shown on your charts.

 

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Technical Indicators – Major Oscillators

 

There are a number of oscillators that can help you when trading. The oscillators make it easy to find great trade signals. These signals can be of help to you to make informed short term decisions about where a stock is probably heading.You will find below examples of how you can make use of a lot off the most frequent oscillators to estimate market movements.

1. The ADX oscillator is a very powerful signal. This signal graphs a line that bounces between 0 to 100. If the line is underneath 20 it is stated to be low if it is above 40 it is stated to be high. Unlike most oscillators this one does not give indications whether to buy or sell .It only informs you how strong the trend is. If a stock is trending up and the ADX is high that signals that the trend is going strong and will in all probability continue. If it the trend is up but the ADX is low that signals that the trend might be losing steam and not that strong any more. In this case you may not want to enter the market or if you are in it you may wish to tighten your stops.

2. The RSI is more of a conventional signal. I say that as it gives you actual trade signals. Such as the ADX the RSI is also a line that bounces between 0 and 100. Unlike the ADX when the RSI passes the 50 mark it signals the trend is changing.This gives off a buying signal if it crosses over to the upside and a selling signal if it crosses over to the down-side.3. The Bollinger Bands indicator is another widely used Oscillator. It makes two lines on the stock chart. One above the price and one underneath the price. When the stock hits the lower it should bounce up to the top line. When it hits the top line it should bounce to the bottom line. These creases always adjust to fit the price movement of the stock.

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