Archive for January, 2010

Top Ten Stock Market Technical Indicators

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New and Experienced traders are always searching for the latest and greatest technical indicators. They scour the internet reading every blog by the Current Guru explaining why their technical indicator is the best. They spend hours on hours reading and learning all the trade rules for each indicators. To what avail? Usually, they’ve learn so much that the indicators are conflicting and the trader is unable to pull the trigger.

I have always said that it is not about market knowledge or technical indicators. A good trader learns how to control his/her emotions by developing a personalized trading plan. A good trade is one entered and exited based upon rules and conditions – regardless of the outcome. Until a trader learns how to control their emotions and make sound trading decisions based on rules, they are doomed to make the same portfolio killing decisions of follow the latest guru. There is no success there. That guru will not be the one to place the trade for you. You MUST learn how to pull the trigger yourself.

So, with that said, here are myTop Ten Technical Indicators:

1. Price – I personally think price action ( I use japanese candle patterns) along with moving average and support and resistance. I try to go with the trend and identify the path of least resistance is where I want to be.

2. Volume – One of the best indicators of the conviction of traders. Volume ,placed in context with price movement, allows me to trade effectively. To measure the significance of volume, we need a baseline. What I am looking for is the % change over an average day.

3. Support and Resistance – I use support and resistance for entries and exits, as well as for clues about where the market is going. But support and resistance trading never becomes obsolete, because support and resistance levels are caused by human nature. They are a natural occurrence in all liquid markets, they always have been and they always will be.

4. Moving Averages – Moving averages are one tool to help you detect a change in trend. They measure buying and selling pressures under the assumption that no commodity can sustain an uptrend or downtrend without consistent buying and selling pressure.

5. Market Internals – For me the internals can help to show direction but what is important is to see how the internals are acting at key price levels. They will help you to confirm rejection or acceptance at support/resistance. Breadth can be used to see underlying strength or weakness. The up/down volume seems to give a broad sense of the market.

6. Bollinger Bands – First and foremost, bollinger bands are great tools to identify period of high and low volatility for a stock. I also like to use Bollinger Bands to confirm/identify a stock’s trend. In conjunction with a moving average, you can use the bands to identify support and resistance.

7. ADX (DMI / -) – The ADX indicator measures the strength of a trend and can be very useful to determine if a trend is either strong or weak. High readings indicate a strong trend and low readings indicate a weak trend. You want to be in stocks with high readings whether the underlying stock is in an uptrend or downtrend. When this indicator is showing a low reading, the underlying stock is probably about to establish a trading range (consolodation period). Avoide stocks with low readings!

8. Stochastics – When the market is trending is necessary to adapt the oscillator to the same conditions: When the market is trending up, then the signals with the higher probability of success are those in direction of the trend “Buy signals”, on the other hand when the market is trending down, selling signals offer the lowest risk opportunities. Divergence trades are amongst the most reliable trading signals. A divergence occurs either when the indicator reaches new highs/lows and the market fails to do it or the market reaches new highs/lows and the indicator fails to do it. Both conditions mean that the market isn’t as strong as it used to be giving us opportunities to profit from the market.

9. Relative Strength Index (RSI) – A great leading indicator to time your trading signals. A stock is overbought if the RSI shows a level above 70. A stock is oversold if the RSI shows a level below 30.

10. Moving Average Convergence Divergence (MACD) – MACD is a trend following momentum indicator. It also does a good job of finding a reversal in trends. The most simple way to use the MACD is to look for a crossover of the moving averages. When the MACD line crosses to the upside that is a bullish signal, conversely when the MACD line crosses to the downside that is a sell signal.

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why Use Technical Indicators?

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Why use technical indicators? Can they help you find out when to get into a stock? The answer is yes. Many technical indicators can help you find exact entry and exit point when you are trading in the stock market. They can be an extremely big help.

I bet you are wondering what exactly technical indicators are. Let me explain it to you. Technical indicators are mathematical formulas. They are based on price movements and are said to be very accurate.

In fact there are traders out there who will rely heavily on 1 or 2 indicators when making their decision. There are literally thousands of different indicators out there, which run on thousands of different formulas for you to choose from. A few of the most popular are the Fibonacci retracements, the MACD, and the moving average.

The great thing about these technical indicators is that most of them have been proven to give you buy and sell signals that actually make you money. All an investor has to do is load them onto a chart and do what they tell you to.

Let us go into why they work. We will look at the MACD indicator. When it rises up it goes to overbought territory. When it goes down it goes to oversold territory. When it first enters the overbought territory it is time for you to buy. When it enters the oversold territory it is time for you to sell.

So you have a MACD indicator on your chart. When it rises to overbought territory it gives you a buy signal. But it also gives hundreds of thousands of other traders a buy signal. You all buy the stock expecting it to go up.

Everyone buying the stock pushes it up so supply will meet demand. When the MACD gives you a sell signal everybody who uses a MACD sees it too. They all sell causing the price of the stock to come down so demand will meet supply.

Trading signals are not perfect. Any trader who trades with technical indicators can expect to see both wins and losses. But all and all they should make you money.

Most investors will use technical indicators in combination with other indicators. This helps weed out false buy signals and often produces greater gains then just using the indicators by themselves.

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